In his discussion of historical collapses of civilizations,
Jared Diamond points out some of the key reasons for societal downfalls and how
this can be applied today. First,
Diamond identifies five factors that are particularly important when
considering the collapse of these civilizations. These factors are human
inflicted damage to the environment, climate change, enemies, changes in trade,
and societies responses to these shifts (409). Diamond demonstrates the role of
these factors on various historical collapses. For instance, he brings up the
example of the Mayans to show how problems are perpetuated when the people in
power feel the effects of the problems the least and therefore ignore them past
the point of no return. Additionally, he uses the example of Pitcairn and
Henderson to demonstrate the vulnerability of people when they are dependent on
trade. Both of these two factors are still very relevant today, perhaps even
more so. In a globalized world, everyone is dependent on trade in even larger
and more complex ways. Also, the ability of the rich and powerful to detach
themselves from problems is greater and more widespread as it does not apply
solely to a few elite rulers but rather to the entirety of the developed world
at least to some extent.
Diamond
goes on to discuss the role of the environment in determining the fate of historic
civilizations, both failed and successful. He provides examples for both
societies who managed to survive in poorer environmental regions as well as
societies that failed despite their placement in fertile regions. This shows
that environmental conditions, though important, do not seal the fate of a group
of people. More important are the ways in which people respond to their
environments and the related challenges as well as their willingness to adapt.
History shows that the environment provides resources that are capable of sustaining
civilizations successfully but only when managed correctly. This seems an
important note to make when considering the modern day struggle with how best
to manage resources and how seriously to consider the environment.
In
terms of enemies as a factor, Diamond suggests that globalization has made
everyone more vulnerable and protection almost impossible. Instead of typical
military protection, he suggests that it is necessary to deal with the root
problems of conflict. This would mean that all nations would see preventing
conflict in any nation to be in their own self-interest. Therefore since
environmental, population, and health issues and the resource struggles
connected with them become a global security issue that everyone would see as worthwhile
to address.
Despite
the complex and serious nature of Diamonds discussion he ends his article with
hope. He points out that the problems he highlights are human made ones and
therefore are within the means of humans to address. People are not helplessly
fighting an unknown and unstoppable disaster but rather themselves. Additionally,
humans today have the examples of the past to serve as warnings and guidance to
the best course of action. Although comforting, this assumes that humans are
not too late too save themselves and also that they are willing to do so. Can
we really compare the relatively contained civilizations of the past to the
much larger and interconnected global system of today? These historical
collapses were brought about by factors that are very much in play today but
now there are the added variables of technology and globalization both of which
can be seen as both a blessing and a curse. Has our use of technology in our damage to the environment
made it impossible for us to repair without even more advanced technology? Has globalization
made it too hard to find the political will that Diamond says will save us?
I find Diamond's parallels between the fall of previous societies and current environmental issues to be oversimplified. Bear in mind that until the Industrial Revolution in the late nineteenth century, most people on earth lived their lives in much the same way as their ancestors had ten thousand years prior. The invention of all types of labor-saving devices that we take for granted today shifted the energy requirements for daily life away from human or animal power and towards more abstract sources like fossil fuels. This muddles the relationships between energy sources and energy sinks. In many of Diamond's "happy" examples, like German reforestation, there was a direct and visible relationship between the problem and the solution. That relationship was not as clear either in the more unfortunate examples or in modern situations.
ReplyDeleteAlthough Diamond attempts to offer hope in his final paragraphs, what he does not address is what happens if the solutions he suggests failed to be reached. Moreover his suggested solutions are vague; how exactly does a government deal with "population issues"? I hesitate to bring up the options that have been employed historically.
I am also skeptical about how much the historical examples Diamond provides apply to the current situation. As Stephen pointed out, the historical problems are easier to see direct relationships in and have more obvious indicators that the solution is working. Today's problems require much more background information and specialized education/thinking, such as economics, biology, physics, statistical analysis, etc. to even be able to acknowledge the problem. Because of the global characteristic of the current problems, we must understand not only local economies and ecosystems but also international markets and politics. Even if the developed countries were magically given a perfect one-change-fixes all solution to the global environmental situation and all of them happened to unite behind it, the developed world would have to be able to convince the rest of the human population that this change is necessary and that the current value systems and ways of thinking about the world must change. Considering the developed world's messy and sometimes disturbing track record with developing and impoverished nations, I find it hard to believe that convincing other nations and peoples to reevaluate their value systems and ways of thinking would be a quick process or met without serious resistance.
ReplyDelete